Richard Swinburne (ed.)
(2002年,Oxford University Press/Proceedings of the British Academy 113,ISBN:0197262678)
「ベイズの定理」で知られる Thomas Bayes の生誕三百年記念論集.王立協会にだされたベイズの元論文が復刻されている.Sober の論文を読むと,いわゆる“ベイズ主義”が,「ベイズの定理」とは別物の,哲学的なひとつのスタンスであり,長所も短所もあることがよくまとめられている.個別科学でベイズ法が使えるかどうかは慎重に考えてみる必要がある.
【目次】
Notes on contributors vii
Preface ix
1. Introduction (Richard Swinburne) 1
2. Bayesianism : Its scope and limits (Elliott Sober) 21
3. Bayesianism in statistics (Colin Howson) 39
4. Bayes's theorem and weighting evidence by juries (A. P. Dawid) 71
5. Bayes, Hume, Price, and miracles (John Earman) 91
6. Propensities may satisfy Bayes's theorem (David Miller) 111
Appendix: An essay towards solving a problem in the doctorine of chances. By Thomas Bayes, presented to the Royal Society by Richard Price. preceded by a historical introduction by G. A. Barnard. 117