M. L. Taper and S. R. Lele (eds.)
（2004年，The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, ISBN:0226789578）
個人的にはとても期待している論文集．というのも，生態学における仮説検定とモデル選択をケーススタディーとして，統計学のもつ意義についてさまざまな角度から論じているから．とくに，本書では従来的な意味での〈decision making〉としての統計ツールの利用ではなく，データを仮説にとっての〈evidence〉とみなす考え方が中核に置かれているようだ．これは，影響力の大きかった Richard Royall の『Statistical Evidence: A Likelihood Paradigm』（1997年，Chapman & Hall / CRC, ISBN:0412044110）の延長線上に展開された論議とみなすこともできる．編者 Mark L. Taper は生態学者であり，もうひとりの Subhash R. Lele は形態測定学者だ．ターゲット論文に対して，コメントが付けられ，それらに対する著者の返答が載るという，あちらではよくあるタイプの討論型論集．だから，論点の対比が際立ち，理解が深まる．こういう論文集を輪読会などの機会にきっちり勉強すると「もののことわり」が身につくように思う．
【目次】
Foreword (C. R. Rao) xi
Preface xv
Part 1: Scientific process 1
Overview (Marc L. Taper and Subhash R. Lele)
1. A brief tour of statistical concepts (Nicholas Lewin-Koh, Mark L. Taper, and Subhash R. Lele) 3
2. Models of scientific inquiry and statistical practice: Implications for the structure of scientific knowledge (Brian A. Maurer) 17
2.1: Commentary (Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay and John G. Bennett) 32
2.2: Commentary (Mark L. Wilson) 39
2.3: Rejoinder (Brian A. Maurer) 43
3. Experiments, observations, and other kinds of evidence (Samuel M. Scheiner) 51
3.1: Commentary (Marie-Josee Fortin) 66
3.2: Commentary (Manuel C. Molles, Jr.) 67
3.3: Rejoinder (Samuel M. Scheiner)
Part 2: Logics of evidence 73
Overview (V. P. Godambe)
4. An error-statistical philosophy of evidence (Deborah G. Mayo) 79
4.1: Commentary (Earl D. McCoy) 97
4.2: Commentary (George Casella) 99
4.3: Rejoinder (Deborah G. Mayo) 101
5. The likelihood paradigm for statistical evidence (Richard Royall) 119
5.1: Commentary (D. R. Cox) 138
5.2: Commentary (Martin Curd) 140
5.3: Rejoinder (Richard Royall) 145
6. Why likelihood? (Malcolm Forster and Elliott Sober) 153
6.1: Commentary (Michael Kruse) 165
6.2: Commentary (Robert J. Boik) 167
6.3: Rejoinder (Malcolm Forster and Elliott Sober) 181
7. Evidence functions and the optimality of the law of likelihood (Subhash R. Lele) 191
7.1: Commentary (Christopher C. Heyde) 203
7.2: Commentary (Paul I. Nelson) 205
7.3: Rejoinder (Subhash R. Lele) 207
Part 3: Realities of nature 217
Overview (Mark S. Boyce)
8. Whole-ecosystem experiments : Replication and arguing from error (Jean A. Miller and Thomas M. Frost) 221
8.1: Commentary (William A. Link) 248
8.2: Commentary (Charles E. McCulloch) 256
8.3: Rejoinder (Jean A. Miller) 258
9. Dynamical models as paths to evidence in ecology (Mark L. Taper and Subhash R. Lele) 275
9.1: Commentary (Steven Hecht Orzack) 286
9.2: Commentary (Philip M. Dixon) 290
9.3: Rejoinder (Mark L. Taper and Subhash R. Lele) 292
10. Constraints on negative relationships : Mathematical causes and ecological consequences (James H. Brown, edward J. Bedrick, S. K. Morgan Ernest, Jean-Luc E. Carlton, and Jeffrey F. Kelly) 298
10.1: Commentary (Robert D. Holt and Norman A. Slade) 315
10.2: Commentary (Steve Cherry)
10.3: Rejoinder (James H. Brown, edward J. Bedrick, S. K. Morgan Ernest, Jean-Luc E. Carlton, and Jeffrey F. Kelly)
Part 4: Science, opinion, and evidence 325
Overview (Mark L. Taper and Subhash R. Lele)
11. Statistics and the scientific method in ecology (Brian Dennis) 327
11.1: Commentary (Charles E. McCulloch) 360
11.2: Commentary (Aaron E. Ellison) 362
11.3: Rejoinder (Brian Dennis) 367
12. Taking the prior seriously : Bayesian analysis without subjective probability (Daniel Goodman) 379
12.1: Commentary (Nozer D. Singpurwalla) 400
12.2: Rejoinder (Daniel Goodman)
13. Elicit data, not prior : On using expert opinion in ecological studies (Subhash R. Lele) 410
13.1: Commentary (R. Cary Tuckfield) 423
13.2: Commentary (Lance A. Waller) 428
13.3: Rejoinder (Subhash R. Lele) 431
Part 5: Models, realities, and evidence 437
Overview (Mark L. Taper and Subhash R. Lele)
14. Statistical distances as loss functions in assessing model adequacy (Bruce G. Lindsay) 439
14.1: Commentary (D. R. Cox) 478
14.2: Commentary (Stephen P. Ellner) 480
14.3: Rejoinder (Bruce G. Lindsay) 483
15. Model identification from many candidates (Mark L. Taper) 488
15.1: Commentary (Isabella Verdinelli and Larry Wasserman) 501
15.2: Commentary (Hamparsum Bozdogan) 508
15.3: Rejoinder (Mark L. Taper) 519
Part 6: Conclusion 525
16. The nature of scientific evidence : a forward-looking synthesis (Mark L. Taper and Subhash R. Lele) 527
List of contributors 553
Index 557
