Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
(2011年4月刊行,Yale University Press, New Haven, xiv+320 pp., ISBN:9780300169690 [hbk] → 版元ページ)
速攻でブツが届いた.統計学が中心テーマの本なのに「数式」がみごとにひとつもない.これはスゴいことかもしれない.それにしても長いサブタイトルだ.テレビ番組の二時間ドラマの宣伝文句みたい.著者は日経サイエンスにも寄稿している:S. B. マグレイン「ベイズ規則の応用広がる」日経サイエンス2011年7月号,pp. 20-21.
【目次】
Preface and Note to Readers ix
Acknowledgments xii
Part I. Enlightenment and the Anti-Bayesian Reaction 1
1. Causes in the Air 3
2. The Man Who Did Everything 13
3. Many Doubts, Few Defenders 34
Part II. Second World War Era 59
4. Bayes Goes to War 61
5. Dead and Buried Again 87
Part III. The Glorious Revival 89
6. Arthur Bailey 91
7. From Tool to Theology 97
8. Jerome Cornfield, Lung Cancer, and Heart Attacks 108
9. There's Always a First Time 119
10. 46,656 Varieties 129
Part IV. To Prove Its Truth 137
11. Business Decisions 139
12. Who Wrote The Federalist ? 154
13. The Cold Warrior 163
14. Three Mile Island 176
15. The Navy Searches 182
Part IV. Victory 211
16. Eureka! 213
17. Rosetta Stones 233
Appendixes 253
Dr. Fisher's Casebook 253
Applying Bayes's Rule to Mammograms and Breast Cancer 255
Notes 259
Glossary 271
Bibliography 275
Index 307