『Inference to the Best Explanation, Second Edition』

Peter Lipton

(2004年刊行,Routledge[International Library of Philosophy], London, ISBN:0415242029 [hbk] / ISBN:0415242037 [pbk])



【目次】
Preface to the second edition ix
Preface to the first edition xi

Introduction 1

1. Induction 5

 Underdetermination 5
 Justification 7
 Description 11

2. Explanation 21

 Understanding explanation 21
 Reason, familiality, deduction, unification, necessity 23

3. The causal model 30

 Fact and foil 30
 Failed reductions and false differences 37
 Causal triangulation 41

4. Inference to the Best Explanation 55

 Spelling out the slogan 55
 Attractions and repulsions 64

5. Contrastive inference 71

 A case study 71
 Explanation and deduction 82

6. The raven paradox 91

 Unsuitable contrasts 91
 The Method of Agreement 99

7. Bayesian abduction 103

 The Bayesian approach 103
 The Bayesian and the explanationist should be friends 107
 Contrastive inference revisited 117

8. Explanation as a guide to inference 121

 The guilding claim 121
 Improved coverage 126
 Explanatory obsessions 128
 From cause to explanation 132

9. Loveliness and truth 142

 Voltaire's objection 142
 The two-stage process 148
 Is the best good enough? 151

10. Prediction and prejudice 164

 The puzzle 164
 The fudging explanation 168
 Actual and assessed support 177

11. Truth and explanation 184

 Circularity 184
 A bad expanation 192
 The scientific evidence 198

Conclusion 207



Bibliography 211
Index 217